In Digest, Ukraine

By Oleg Tsarev, Aug. 3, 2015, translated by Kristina Rus for Fort Russ

News from the Times of London that Donetsk militia is engaged in the creation of a “dirty bomb” in cooperation with Russian scientists is not good. I would not hurry to treat it as a typical nonsense constantly written about Donbass.

Nuclear symbolOf course, it is impossible to seriously discuss this story in the way it’s portrayed in the West. But the fact is that when someone wants to commit a crime, he must first create an alibi. Or, in our case, to create the background information that would blame the enemy.

In other words, if the Times – perhaps with help of Ukrainian and Western intelligence agencies – publishes leaks about a “bomb”, that means Kiev is contemplating a big provocation with its curators.

Sanctions didn’t help to “defeat” Russia. A Boeing tribunal [proposed at the UN Security Council] did not work out. An attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces would have ended in defeat under the current circumstances.

Which means that Kiev needs a disaster with the greatest possible number of victims on the despised territory to make Donbass the area of international disaster, this time to force Russia to agree to send “peacekeeping troops”, or any other form of pressure chosen by America and its satellites. Hence the talk about a “dirty bomb”.

But I write this not to blame Kiev. We know what these people are capable of — after Odessa [the Massacre of May 2, 2014], after the bombing of cities, after torture and murder–we have no illusions.

And so now it’s time to ask not Ukraine, but Russia.

The official position of Russia – and people’s republics — is that we need the implementation of the Minsk agreements. Fine. But the Minsk agreement is not working, or not working as we would like. Even if all the critics forget about their claims about this agreement and agree that such a compromise is necessary, the agreements still do not work, or work poorly.

Moreover, the Kiev government already stated a hundred times that they will not work. They say: first you surrender and abandon your weapons “and we will hang you later”. No special status for Donbass until then.

But is there an adequate response from Russia? What to do if Minsk doesn’t work? Do you have a plan in case Minsk does not work?

Currently, Russia offers to just wait until the Kiev gangsters come to their senses or go bankrupt, and then…

But how long to wait is unclear.

The “first” Minsk of last September was replaced by the “second”. It’s been almost a year since the signing of the agreements, but there is no progress in achieving peace.

And this means that a large region, with millions of people – is “suspended”. It left Ukraine but didn’t come to Russia, and is living in expectation.

And now let us ask ourselves. Can you think of a more convenient place for bloody provocation than the territory with unclear status, where an endless war is supposed to end but in practice is constantly exploding with new attacks and fighting?

Who benefits from this endless waiting — “revolutionary” Ukraine, which has nothing to lose, and which is ready for the most radical attacks to prolong its existence, or stable Russia that wants, on the contrary, to quickly end a dangerous stand-off?

I’m afraid we may have to bitterly regret the fact that Donbass has become a platform for global political bargaining and a no-man’s land for an indefinite period of time. Because we know who may strike a sudden blow on peaceful citizens, and we know who will have to answer for the consequences of such a strike.

As they say, God willing, my fears are unfounded.

Oleg Tsarev is chairperson of the Parliament of Novorossiya. The Parliament has been out of session since February 2015, out of deference to the Mink-2 ceasefire agreement. According to that agreement, the Ukrainian government in Kyiv is obliged to negotiate a meaningful political autonomy for the people of the Donbas region (Donetsk and Lugansk) in eastern Ukraine. To date, Kyiv has grossly failed to meet this obligation.


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