By Greg Butterfield, Workers World, Aug 24, 2015
Note by New Cold War.org: Two days after the following article was published, an agreement was reached by all sides of the Trilateral Contact Group of the Minsk-2 ceasefire agreement to cease all military conflict across the ceasefire line as of September 1, 2015. The news and analysis in the following article are as important now as then.
Despite overnight shelling in the city, and faced with the imminent threat of a new military offensive by Ukrainian troops, thousands of people in Donetsk city rallied August 24 to demand that the Kiev regime headed by President Peter Poroshenko stop the war against the independent Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics of the Donbass region.
The antiwar protest, titled “Ukraine’s Dependence Day,” was a rejoinder to the jingoist Independence Day celebrations organized in Ukraine by the junta of oligarchs, neoliberal politicians and fascists that took power with U.S.-European Union backing in February 2014. The far-right regime has been dependent on Western economic and military support ever since.
August 24, 1991, was the day pro-capitalist and nationalist forces in Ukraine declared “independence” from the Soviet Union. The breakup of the first socialist state took place under Washington stooges Boris Yeltsin and Mikhail Gorbachev.
This year, a social media call for a flashmob in central Donetsk brought young and old into the streets. They marched from the statue of Taras Shevchenko, an 18th century Ukrainian nationalist figure, to the statue of V.I. Lenin, leader of the revolution that established the first modern, multinational Ukrainian state as part of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.
They carried flags of the Donetsk republic and signs reading, “Poroshenko – puppet in the U.S. show,” “You’ve already perished, Ukraine” (a reference to Kiev’s national anthem), and “Stop the war, bloody President Poroshenko.” (Online reports by Denis Grigoryuk and Novorossia Today)
Death toll grows as offensive looms
The Human Rights Ombudsman of the Donetsk People’s Republic reported that 23 civilians were killed and 32 injured in shelling by Ukrainian troops from August 15-21. Some 17 were killed and 45 wounded in the prior week. (Novorossia Today, Aug. 24)
The death toll has grown steadily over the summer. Sporadic Ukrainian shelling that claimed a few lives each week has intensified. There has also been an increase in attacks in the Lugansk People’s Republic, especially near villages under the protection of the Ghost Brigade anti-fascist militia.
According to the United Nations, nearly 7,000 people have been killed since the start of Kiev’s “Anti-Terrorist Operation” in the spring of 2014.
There is no doubt now that Kiev’s army and volunteer neo-fascist battalions are preparing a new offensive. Along with Poroshenko’s boasts of sending more troops and weaponry to the front – obtained (directly or indirectly) through the U.S. and other NATO powers – the anti-fascist militias that defend the Donbass republics have reported a steady buildup of Ukrainian troops for months.
On August 20, Donetsk Deputy Defense Minister Eduard Basurin reported on intelligence received from a high-ranking member of the Ukrainian military who opposes the junta’s latest moves. (Dontesk News Agency)
According to this information – which confirms what the militias have observed on the ground – Ukraine now has more than 90,000 troops on or near the front line; 450 tanks; more than 2,500 armored personnel carriers; 5 mobile rocket launcher complexes; 230 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems; over 1,000 artillery guns and mortars; and more than 3,500 anti-tank weapons.
The planned Ukrainian offensive is said to be modeled on the Croatian assault that defeated Serbian forces in Krajina during the Yugoslavian civil war, also masterminded and manipulated by Washington and Berlin.
Attacking from several directions simultaneously, Kiev’s forces hope to reach Donetsk’s eastern border with Russia, preventing any military or humanitarian support from reaching the resistance, and blocking Lugansk militia forces from coming to their aid. (For maps and in-depth information in English, see RedStarOverDonbass.blogspot.com.)
However, military analyst Colonel Cassad points out that, unlike Krajina, where Croatian forces outnumbered Serbian troops by a factor of 10, Ukraine has not even twice the number of troops as the Donbass republics, who have resoundingly defeated previous Ukrainian offensives.
Washington wants war, not peace
The buildup by Ukraine is a direct violation of the Minsk 2 ceasefire agreement it signed in February with Russia, Germany and France. Even after the Donbass republics unilaterally withdrew heavy weaponry from the contact line, Kiev refused to budge.
An intervention by U.S. officials to force Kiev to pass legislation required by the Minsk accords in June led to speculation that Washington might try to tamp down the war. But in fact, it appears to have been another fig leaf to cover Pentagon and NATO training and arming of the Ukrainian military, while giving the regime more time to build up its offensive forces.
As Workers World reported previously, the war in Donbass is a step in a long-term U.S. effort to undermine the existence of an independent capitalist Russian Federation. This bipartisan policy, more than 20 years in the making, may take tactical twists and turns, but there are no signs that Washington and Wall Street plan to fundamentally change course. (See Ukraine, Donbass and the New Cold War against Russia, July 31, 2015)
What the Obama administration, Congressional leaders and the Pentagon have done is to further U.S. control over the disparate, competing factions of the Kiev regime, united mainly by their hatred of Russia and the people of Donbass.
In late August, leaders of the Right Sector fascist group, which repeatedly threatened to overthrow Poroshenko, suddenly announced on social media that some of their squads would be integrated into the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), the Ukrainian political police similar to the FBI.
Right Sector members will be put on the government payroll, issued “official” weapons and have the legal cover of the SBU.
The integration of Right Sector into the state apparatus came shortly after statements by the U.S. ambassador and other officials defending Poroshenko from the most recent flare up between the rival factions. (Col. Cassad blog, Aug. 22) It fits a pattern that has seen neo-Nazis like the Azov Battalion integrated into the Ukrainian military structure and trained by U.S. troops.
Add these developments to the International Monetary Fund’s declaration that it will continue to bail out Kiev even if the bankrupt regime defaults on its loans, while it pours money into the war and imposes ever greater austerity measures and repression on the working people of Ukraine.
The message is clear: U.S. imperialism wants the war in Donbass to continue at all costs. Washington is determined to use Ukraine to wear down the People’s Republics and Russia, and doesn’t care how many people on both sides are killed in the process.
But, as Donetsk residents showed with their protest August 24, the people of Donbass are prepared and determined to resist.
Greg Butterfield publishes the highly informative blog ‘Red Star Over Donbass‘. He regularly translates news and analysis from the Russian language.